Showing posts with label charts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label charts. Show all posts

Sunday, May 17, 2020

Venator Materials VNTR, Betting on "Dogs"- Call Options

 Link to Venator Materials

Venator Materials (VNTR) is very interesting company, besides wide range of products they offer, their valuation is incredibly low.
Shrinking revenues and earning are not as bad as charts could make us believe or explain why this +$20 per share stock is trading now around $1.25.
If there are some underlying problems with this company, we don't  know that, but I would rather attribute oversold condition of VNTR to shrinking economy, lower demand for products and sluggish commodity prices.
Is VNTR worth buying at this stage? yes and no,  NO, because we don't know how long this economical slump will last and when commodity prices will start to move up to catch up with hidden inflation. YES, because right now VNTR is trading  much below 0.1 price to sales and could be subject to hostile takeover, buyback from (HUN) Huntsman Corporation at price much higher than Friday $1.25 closing....ahmm, like between $7- $15 a share ?. Of course, what I am writing here is pure speculation, but still, in my opinion VNTR stock belongs to $5-$7 range or even higher.
I don't intend to buy into Venator, because it is too risky, yet, I am thinking about following this stock with "Long shot" call option strategy, it costs only $5 per contract on June 19th $2.5 strike. If VNTR "decides" to move to the upside, I believe, the jump can be rather explosive, on high volume and that will propel call option prices skyward.

* below:  VNTR weekly chart since 2017, it's IPO